China struggling with acute issues today                    Zhang Kai

 


      Changes in the party and state leadership were made during the First Session of the 10th National People's Congress in China in March 2003. Though Jiang Zemin obtained only 92% of votes (with 98 votes against and 122 in abstention), he remains the one in control of the military. The new President of the State, Hu Jintao, obtained 99% of votes (with 4 against and 3 abstentions), but he has yet to consolidate his power in relation to Jiang.

      The outgoing Premier, Zhu Rongji, made a Report of the Government's Work, and gave a balance sheet of his government's performance in the last five years. With fixed assets investment amounting to 17.2 trillion yuan (US$1 = 8 yuan), the deficit has also increased from 46 billion yuan to a budgeted 319.8 billion yuan for 2003 (this does not include 568 billion yuan of state bonds issued last year, and 140 billion yuan of state bonds expected to be issued in 2003). Zhu had thus won himself the nickname of "Deficit Premier".

      Zhu's Report stated that reform of the state-owned enterprises was the gist of the entire systemic reform. Two levels of governing and management mechanisms will be set up to monitor state owned assets - at the central government level and at the local level. A feature article in Hong Kong reported that this would incite a new round of sale of state-owned enterprises by local officials; with the so-called Management Buyout (MBO), most of the stocks of state-owned enterprises would be sold to the management. Some economists pointed out that this will be the last scramble for state assets.1

          While state owned assets have been squandered under corruption and bureaucratic management, and was valued at 11 trillion yuan in 2001, privately owned financial assets in China was valued at over 12 trillion yuan according to the State Statistics Bureau. The Deputy Head of the State Statistics Bureau, Qiu Xiaohua, while reviewing economic development of 2002, said that the state owned economy contributed only to one-third of China's economic growth, whereas the two-thirds were from non-state sectors.

          Zhu's Report said that since 1978, 27 million workers from state owned enterprises have stepped down from their position, 90% have gone into retraining service centres, and about 18 million have found a new job. (That means about 9 million are still unemployed.) However, Zhang Zuoji, Head of the Ministry of Labour and Social Security, said 7 days later that up to the end of 2002, China had an unemployed rank of 7.7 million, as well as 4.1 million workers from state owned enterprises waiting for a new job.2 (He himself had some while ago quoted a figure of 7.52 million registered unemployed and 6 million stepped-down workers from state owned enterprises up to the end of September 2002; that would mean a decrease of 1.72 million among the total number of unemployed within three months, yet he at the same time said that the unemployment problem was getting more and more acute.

          The official figures had kept urban unemployment rate to 4% at the end of 2002. Wang Menghui, Head of the Development Research Centre under the State Council, reported that from the studies done by various groups, the urban unemployment rate had reached about 8-10%; in addition, 10 million youths come to their labour age every year.3

          With the acute situation, workers actions have been frequent. During the March Congress period, it was reported that in the northeast where unemployment was serious, over five hundred textile workers took to the street for consecutive days in Jiamusi City, demanding unemployment subsidy to be raised; the current meager subsidy was a monthly sum of 120 yuan. Workers from the paper and sugar industries joined the protests.4 In Xi-an City, several hundred workers from military arms factories protested dismissal, and launched a sit-in on the highway. In Changchun City, 400 winery workers protested that the management did not provide them with heating facilities. In Liaoyang City, over a thousand workers from metal and textile factories protested against wages in arrears. Fang Qinghui, a young worker from Heilongjiang unemployed for five years, broke into the Reuters office in Beijing and held the staff as hostage in order to draw attention to his plight and to China's corruption. These are examples of the acceleration of social crises.

          The situation for the peasants is even more acute. Since 1997, peasants' income has been on the decrease. Zhu's Report acknowledged that agricultural products were in excess of demand, and the prices were falling, which was the main reason for peasants' income to drop. The state's support of the agricultural sector was very small. Of the 17.2 trillion yuan which was five years of total investment into social fixed assets, input into the agricultural sector was a mere 400 billion yuan. The situation will certainly become graver after China's accession to the WTO. Wu Shusheng, a professor at the Peking University, said that more important than increasing investment into the agricultural sector was increasing peasants' income, employment opportunities and purchasing power. However, 900 million peasants suffer from a reduction of the net income, and cannot afford consumption.5

          According to Zeng Yanpei, Head of the Planning Commission, the well being for all the population of China is at a low level of well-being. He said, in 2000, per capita GDP was US$800, equivalent to 6,680 yuan. Official figures was that the income of urban residents was 6,860 yuan, and the income of peasants was 2,366 yuan. Qiu Xiaohua, Deputy Head of the State Statistics Bureau, said that 40% of peasants' income was in goods, and cash income was only 1,800 yuan. With some of it spent on pesticide and chemical fertilizer, only about 1,500 yuan could be used for consumption.6

          Wang Xuchao, President of the China Poverty Alleviation Fund, said that there are still around 30 million people in China's countryside who are below subsistence level, and about 60 million at the subsistence level. There are 14.59 million people in absolute poverty, with an annual income below 500 yuan. There are 90.33 million in poverty, with an annual income below 1,000 yuan. Those with an income between 1,000 and 2,000 yuan are 310.79 million.7 They amount to about half of the agricultural population.

          At the National Political Consultative Committee, Chen Mingde, Deputy President of the China Democratic State Building Society, said that over half of China's population had an income below 2,000 yuan, and the rich-poor disparity has exceeded the international caution line.8

          The central government recognized that the burden on peasants had to be alleviated, and had issued decrees to reduce tariffs on peasants. In over 20 provinces, a reform turning fees into taxes has been experimented. There have been reports of local governments finding ways to bypass decrees of central governments. The different levels of the bureaucracy are still very much an obstacle to peasants improving their lives. Sun Dawu, Director of Dawu Farming and Animal Husbandry Group in Hebei Province, pointed out that a peasant intending to legally sell boiled eggs would have to go through over 40 procedures. The compartmentalized interests of different state departments and the excessive powers held by the local rural power mechanisms made it difficult for peasants to increase their income and for the countryside to develop.9

          News of peasants resisting oppression is usually blockaded, but some have found ways to leak to the outside world. For example, the Xinhua Web reported on some incidents: in January, at Nangwang Zhuan, Gucheng County, Hebei Province, 2,000 villagers refused to submit the agricultural tax and fought with about 30 tax-collectors sent by the township government. Three days later, 6 villagers were arrested, but the villagers held the township party secretary and several people as hostage. In the end, the county government gave in to the villagers. Another incident occurred in Nanjing: over 300 workers coming from the countryside took to the streets to protest against the construction company not paying them their wages.

          The problems facing workers and peasants of China cannot be radically resolved without a democratic political reform which does away with the political and economic privileges of various levels of the bureaucracy. Such views are being voiced by dissidents in China. In March, the magazine 21st Century Globe Journal was banned, and one of the five charges was that it published an interview with Li Rui who had served as Mao Zedong's secretary. Li said that China's biggest danger is "non separation of the party and the state, the party's rule superseding law, and the rule by individuals overriding the rule by law". He also said, power corrupts, absolute power corrupts absolutely, political reform should start from democratisation within the party, and all party and state leaders should be elected by the 17th Party Congress.10 Two editors of the News Weekly were dismissed for writing a review of Zhu Rongji's performance during his term of office. These voices, though occasionally repressed, allow us to see the changing scene of social transformation in China.

          6 April 2003

1  Hong Kong Economic Times, 29 March 2003.

2  Wen Hui Bao, 13 March 2003.

3 Hong Kong Economic Times, 26 March 2003.

4  Hong Kong Economic Times, 13 March 2003.

5  Hong Kong Economic Daily, 13 March 2003.

6 Hong Kong Economic Daily, 15 July 2002.

7 Ming Pao, 23 March 2003.

8 Apple Daily, 13 March 2003.

9 Apple Daily, 5 April 2003.

10 Sing Tao Daily, 15 March 2003.